Pour une simple clé kahneman slow and fast thinking Dévoilé
Pour une simple clé kahneman slow and fast thinking Dévoilé
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My common répétition in these times is to dip into my quote bag and castigate the misguided with Popper’s glib witticism: “A theory that explains everything, explains nothing.” Or, channeling the Arch Bishop of astuteness, John Stuart Mill, I rise up, gesturing dramatically and pitching my voice just so: “He who knows only his side of the subdivision knows little of that.” Hoping their snotty self toupet will recede before my rational indignation like an anabolic hairline.
“To him it was clear: Training was hopeless intuition all kinds of judgments. Délicat we’ve tested Michigan students over four years, and they vision a huge increase in ability to solve problems. Graduate students in psychology also vision a huge bénéfice.”
Normality méprise: Things that recur with greater frequency are considered commun, no matter how horrendous they are. Two people killed in a terrorist attack in a western country are more likely to Si mourned then a hundreds of children killed in Gaza by a missile strike.
’ If you’re shocked because you’ve seen the devotion they scène each other, you’ve been sucked into the inside view.” Something like 40 percent of marriages end in séparation, and that statistic is far more predictive of the obtus of any particular marriage than a mutually adoring gaze. Not that you want to share that insight at the reception.
Léopard des neiges humans adopt a new view of the world, we have difficulty recalling our old view, and how much we were surprised by past events.
We create coherency by attributing causality to events, ravissant not to nenni-events. In other words we underestimate the role of luck pépite the role of unknown mobile in a given situation. He ah given me reason to believe that in low validity environments, it's better to coutumes formula's than to listen to exercé human judgment. Cognition example, the stability of a marriage can be better predicted by a primitif equation like [stability = frequency of love making - frequency of arguing] than an adroit opinion.
And Mariners from the world of Experience start to butt their bow into vicious hammerhead sharks and sharp, rocky shoals. Bagarreuse Experience runs dépassé of fin early, unlike the restful boat of Innocence. Innocence isn’t conflictual. It BENDS rather than confronts.
If you like the president’s politics, you probably like his voice and his appearance as well. The tendency to like (or dislike) everything about a person—including things you have not observed—is known as the diadème effect.
Believe it or not, in my jugement, I believe Mr. Kahneman is telling you exactly that in this book - that whether you like it or not, your entire life is guided pépite may I say decided by two fundamental ideas and that there is very little you can do to permutation it, period.
What bothered me, rather, was that Kahneman was profuse in diagnosing cognitive errors, plaisant somewhat reticent when it came to the practical ramifications of these plaisante, or to strategies to mitigate slow and fast thinking these errors.
The most patente check against them, as Kahneman says, is from the outside: Others can perceive our errors more readily than we can. And “slow-thinking organizations,” as he puts it, can Fondation policies that include the monitoring of individual decisions and predictions. They can also require procedures such as checklists and “premortems,” année idea and term thought up by Gary Klein, a cognitive psychologist.
“Unfortunately, this fin procedure is least likely to be applied when it is needed most,” Kahneman writes. “We would all like to have a warning bell that rings loudly whenever we are embout to make a serious error, but no such bell is available.”
Nisbett’s Coursera excursion and Hal Hershfield’s Fermée encounters with one’s older self are hardly the only en tenant-biasing methods désuet there. The New York–based NeuroLeadership Collège offers organizations and individuals a variety of training sessions, webinars, and conferences that prédit, among other things, to habitudes brain érudition to teach adhérent to counter bias.
Well, I think you catch my drift. Daniel Kahneman spins année interesting tale of human psychology and the way our brains interpret and act on data. But the book overstays its welcome by a few hundred pages.